NAC Breda vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
RJC
3 - 3
NAC
29%
26%
46%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
JUT
74%
17%
8%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
GAE
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
JON
1 - 1
NAC
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
GRA
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
37%
25%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
BVO
7 - 2
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 0
PSV
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
HEL
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |