Mwadui vs Mbeya City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
AZA
3 - 0
MWA
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NAM
0 - 1
MWA
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MWA
2 - 0
IFC
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 2
KMC
47%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BUM
1 - 0
MWA
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
DJF
0 - 0
MBE
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MBE
0 - 0
TAN
35%
31%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
MBE
0 - 1
NAM
23%
28%
50%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MBE
0 - 1
AZA
23%
29%
48%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
YOU
1 - 0
MBE
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |