Mwadui vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 0
BUM
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
YOU
1 - 1
MWA
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
RUV
3 - 2
MWA
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 0
MWA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
KMC
3 - 2
MWA
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
SUT
1 - 2
KAG
29%
29%
43%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
KAG
1 - 2
POL
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
KAG
1 - 0
COA
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
KAG
0 - 1
YOU
27%
29%
44%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
KAG
1 - 1
RUV
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |