MVV Maastricht vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
69.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
BVO
2 - 0
MVV
84%
12%
5%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
MVV
1 - 1
HEL
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
MVV
2 - 2
EXC
17%
19%
64%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
GAE
3 - 0
MVV
70%
20%
10%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
MVV
0 - 2
JUT
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 0
JUT
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
EIN
0 - 1
NEC
24%
23%
53%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 2
FOR
39%
24%
38%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 0
BVO
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 2
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |