Muttenz vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
BUM
2 - 3
MUT
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
OLD
4 - 1
MUT
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MUT
1 - 3
LAU
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 1
MUT
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MUT
3 - 1
ZOF
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
THU
2 - 3
LAU
65%
18%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
GRA
4 - 1
THU
48%
23%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
THU
1 - 0
ZOF
60%
20%
20%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
THU
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
MUN
1 - 2
THU
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |