Muttenz vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
9º
1º
46
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BIN
0 - 4
MUT
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BUB
0 - 0
MUT
12%
15%
73%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MUT
4 - 2
ZOF
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RSZ
1 - 3
MUT
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MUT
5 - 0
MUT
90%
7%
4%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
ZOF
0 - 4
LIE
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 0
BUB
79%
13%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RSZ
4 - 0
LIE
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LIE
3 - 2
MUT
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
REG
4 - 4
LIE
9%
13%
78%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |