Muttenz vs Mutschellen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.77
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
9º
1º
11
11º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
REG
1 - 3
MUT
14%
16%
70%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
2 - 1
DIE
32%
22%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PRA
1 - 1
MUT
34%
21%
46%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
2 - 1
OLD
27%
20%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCU
0 - 2
MUT
36%
21%
43%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mutschellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
5 - 2
BUB
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ZOF
4 - 1
MUT
82%
11%
6%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MUT
0 - 1
RSZ
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
REG
3 - 0
MUT
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MUT
1 - 3
DIE
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |