Musselburgh Athletic vs Dunbar United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musselburgh Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 2
MUS
65%
17%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MUS
3 - 3
LIN
31%
20%
49%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 5
NEW
63%
18%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -3 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BLU
2 - 4
MUS
11%
16%
73%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
WHI
1 - 3
MUS
20%
19%
61%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Dunbar United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 0
DUN
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 1
TRA
9%
16%
75%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
JSW
3 - 0
DUN
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TRA
4 - 0
DUN
89%
9%
3%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAM
6 - 0
DUN
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +1 |