Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LIG
2 - 0
MUS
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 1
RIV
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
DEL
4 - 1
MUS
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 0
LDU
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 2
BSC
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ORE
1 - 3
IVT
19%
23%
58%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
FLA
4 - 0
IVT
73%
17%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
IVT
1 - 1
BSC
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
JUN
4 - 1
IVT
33%
27%
41%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
IVT
5 - 0
FLA
25%
24%
51%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |