Primera A 1 Phase Copa Pilsener. Jor. 16

Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC analysis

Mushuc Runa Barcelona SC
65 ELO 77
-10.8% Tilt -1.7%
754º General ELO ranking 393º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.5%
Mushuc Runa
32.8%
Draw
35.6%
Barcelona SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
Mushuc Runa
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
+2
8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
32.8%
Draw
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.8%
35.6%
Win probability
Barcelona SC
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mushuc Runa
-10%
+17%
Barcelona SC

ELO progression

Mushuc Runa
Barcelona SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2014
OLM
CD Olmedo
2 - 3
Mushuc Runa
MUS
59%
25%
17%
64 72 8 0
17 Apr. 2014
QUI
Dep. Quito
1 - 0
Mushuc Runa
MUS
64%
23%
13%
65 76 11 -1
12 Apr. 2014
MUS
Mushuc Runa
1 - 1
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
42%
28%
30%
65 67 2 0
04 Apr. 2014
IVT
Independiente del Valle
2 - 1
Mushuc Runa
MUS
67%
21%
12%
65 78 13 0
30 Mar. 2014
MUS
Mushuc Runa
0 - 1
Independiente del Valle
IVT
27%
29%
44%
66 78 12 -1

Matches

Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2014
BSC
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
Dep. Quito
QUI
46%
27%
27%
77 76 1 0
19 Apr. 2014
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 1
Barcelona SC
BSC
33%
30%
37%
77 67 10 0
13 Apr. 2014
BSC
Barcelona SC
2 - 0
Independiente del Valle
IVT
38%
27%
35%
76 78 2 +1
06 Apr. 2014
UCE
Universidad Católica
2 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
55%
24%
21%
77 76 1 -1
30 Mar. 2014
BSC
Barcelona SC
2 - 1
Universidad Católica
UCE
43%
27%
31%
76 76 0 +1
X