Musan Salama vs JS Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-82%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Musan Salama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 10
MUS
8%
14%
78%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 2
STC
79%
14%
8%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
VIF
0 - 3
MUS
49%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MUS
1 - 1
OPS
28%
23%
50%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
TP4
0 - 0
MUS
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
HER
3 - 5
VIF
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
TP4
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
FCY
3 - 1
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
PPT
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 3
HER
47%
23%
31%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +2 |