Muro vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 2
MUR
28%
25%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
GAN
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
JAV
1 - 1
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
ONT
32%
22%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
ALG
1 - 3
MUR
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
PED
37%
24%
38%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
DEN
2 - 2
CAL
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAL
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
GAN
19%
22%
59%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
JAV
22%
24%
54%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |