Murici vs Santa Rita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 3
ASA
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ASA
2 - 2
MUR
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 1
CRB
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 0
COR
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CSA
2 - 2
MUR
63%
20%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
CEO
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CSE
0 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
MUR
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ASA
4 - 0
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CSA
3 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |