Murense vs Porto Cristo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
PLA
3 - 3
MUR
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
3 - 0
XIL
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 0
PLA
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FER
0 - 0
MUR
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 1
ACM
66%
19%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Porto Cristo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
PCR
2 - 0
PLA
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FER
2 - 3
PCR
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PCR
2 - 2
ACM
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
PDS
2 - 3
PCR
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
PCR
1 - 2
SSA
46%
21%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |