Murense vs Espanya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SIN
2 - 2
MUR
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 1
PCR
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
PLA
3 - 3
MUR
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
3 - 0
XIL
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 0
PLA
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Espanya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ESP
2 - 0
PLA
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FER
3 - 2
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ESP
4 - 1
ACM
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
PDS
4 - 2
ESP
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ESP
5 - 1
SSA
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |