Mureşul Deva vs Arieşul 1907 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mureşul Deva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
MUR
0 - 3
ZAL
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
OAS
0 - 1
MUR
47%
24%
30%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MUR
0 - 0
UTA
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
JIU
3 - 2
MUR
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
MUR
2 - 0
UCL
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arieşul 1907
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ARI
4 - 1
GAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
ARI
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ARI
1 - 0
FCO
31%
26%
42%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
FCT
3 - 0
ARI
55%
22%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ARI
2 - 1
USM
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |