Murciélagos vs Dorados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
74.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATL
15%
23%
62%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 2
MUR
87%
10%
4%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
TEP
3 - 3
MUR
76%
17%
7%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
MUR
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
TEP
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
TIJ
1 - 2
DOR
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 2
MUR
87%
10%
4%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
DOR
0 - 0
JAG
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
NEC
0 - 2
DOR
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 1
NEC
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |