Muravera vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
67.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ULD
3 - 0
MUR
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 3
SPO
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MUR
4 - 1
SAN
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
ALB
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
AVE
64%
23%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 2
LAQ
40%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LAQ
3 - 1
SAN
69%
22%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 1
LAQ
23%
25%
51%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LAQ
2 - 0
SAS
61%
24%
15%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |