Muravera vs Afragolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
GLA
0 - 3
MUR
47%
26%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
4 - 0
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TNF
1 - 1
MUR
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
RMS
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 3
ARZ
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
AFR
3 - 1
ARZ
46%
23%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
OST
2 - 0
AFR
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CYN
2 - 0
AFR
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
AFR
3 - 1
SSC
61%
20%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LAN
3 - 2
AFR
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |