Murata vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 0
MUR
22%
22%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 2
PEN
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
TPE
2 - 2
MUR
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
SGI
1 - 3
MUR
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
DOM
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAE
0 - 2
LIB
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 4
REN
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
REN
4 - 0
LIB
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 1
TPE
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -2 |