NS Mura vs Tabor Sežana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
8º
5º
24
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 0
NSM
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
NSM
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
ALU
0 - 0
NSM
20%
23%
58%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
SKD
2 - 1
NSM
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 0
NSM
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tabor Sežana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TAS
2 - 2
CEL
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 4
TAS
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
0 - 3
TAS
9%
16%
75%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 8
OLI
17%
24%
59%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
FCK
5 - 1
TAS
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |