NS Mura vs NK Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
8º
5º
73
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NSM
2 - 1
FCK
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
GOR
0 - 0
NSM
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NSM
0 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
NSM
27%
27%
47%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NSM
2 - 2
TAS
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CEL
4 - 3
OLI
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 2
DOM
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 1
RAD
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 2
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
GOR
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |