NS Mura vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
NSM
3 - 0
AGF
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
OLI
0 - 0
NSM
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
KAL
0 - 4
NSM
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
NSM
3 - 0
TAS
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CEL
0 - 2
NSM
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
GOR
0 - 2
TRI
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GOR
2 - 4
FCK
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
VER
4 - 3
GOR
75%
16%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
BRA
4 - 1
GOR
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
MAR
6 - 1
GOR
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |