NS Mura vs FC Koper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
9º
7º
48
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 0
NSM
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 3
CEL
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 1
NSM
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
DOM
3 - 5
NSM
48%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 1
NSM
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 1
ALU
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
FCK
30%
26%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 1
NSM
54%
23%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 2
FCK
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 1
NSM
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |