NS Mura vs Domžale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
8º
5º
52
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
NSM
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 0
NSM
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
NSM
2 - 2
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NSM
2 - 0
GOR
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CEL
2 - 1
NSM
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
DOM
2 - 1
CEL
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 2
DOM
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
DOM
2 - 3
STR
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 3
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
HOT
0 - 7
DOM
3%
8%
90%
|
71 | 22 | 49 | 0 |