NS Mura vs NK Bravo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
8º
5º
36
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 2
NSM
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NSM
1 - 1
RAD
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
NSM
0 - 2
CEL
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 0
NSM
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NSM
2 - 1
OLI
39%
26%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
NK Bravo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 3
CEL
32%
29%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 2
BRA
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
OLI
24%
27%
50%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 0
BRA
66%
22%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 1
GOR
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |