Municipal vs Cotzumalguapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
MUN
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 0
ACH
70%
18%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 1
COB
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NUE
0 - 2
MUN
22%
27%
52%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
SLC
0 - 3
TOR
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SAP
4 - 2
SLC
77%
14%
8%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SLC
0 - 2
SAP
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SLC
1 - 0
ANT
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SLC
2 - 0
COM
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |