Copa Simón Bolívar . Final
Global 3-0
Atlético Palmaflor vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Palmaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
SAC
0 - 1
CMV
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FAT
1 - 1
CMV
3%
17%
81%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CMV
4 - 0
FAT
86%
12%
3%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CMV
3 - 1
SAC
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SAC
3 - 1
CMV
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
SAC
0 - 1
CMV
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
DRT
2 - 1
SAC
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 0
DRT
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CMV
3 - 1
SAC
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SAC
3 - 1
CMV
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |