Municipal Mejillones vs Real San Joaquín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Mejillones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
LIM
1 - 3
MEJ
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MEJ
0 - 0
OVA
32%
25%
44%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
MEJ
73%
18%
10%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MEJ
0 - 1
RAS
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MEJ
1 - 1
TRA
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
JOA
2 - 3
DUC
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
DFC
2 - 1
JOA
51%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
JOA
0 - 2
MSA
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CDP
1 - 1
JOA
58%
22%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
JOA
1 - 1
DLI
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |