Municipal Limeño vs CD Fuerte San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+85%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
3º
17
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FIR
2 - 0
MUN
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MET
2 - 3
MUN
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 1
CDD
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 0
MUN
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fuerte San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 0
FUE
70%
20%
10%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
CDD
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 64 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDP
3 - 2
FUE
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
SAN
13%
20%
68%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
JOC
0 - 0
FUE
80%
13%
6%
|
23 | 64 | 41 | +1 |