Municipal Limeño vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MUN
0 - 0
FIR
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AGU
2 - 1
MUN
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 1
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
IND
1 - 1
MUN
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
CHA
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 0
HFX
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
CAV
0 - 1
FOR
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 0
PAC
65%
21%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
HFX
1 - 1
FOR
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 2
VAL
73%
18%
8%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |