Municipal Limeño vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AGU
2 - 1
MUN
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 1
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
IND
1 - 1
MUN
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 1
CHA
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SFC
0 - 3
MUN
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
JOC
1 - 0
FIR
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MUN
3 - 1
FIR
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FIR
1 - 4
ALI
12%
22%
66%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 4
FIR
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 1
FIR
47%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |