Municipal Limeño vs Independiente FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MET
2 - 1
MUN
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 0
MUN
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CDD
1 - 1
MUN
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 3
FAS
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PAS
1 - 1
MUN
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
IND
2 - 3
ALI
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
IND
4 - 3
MET
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 2
IND
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
CDD
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FAS
2 - 1
IND
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |