MTV Eintracht Celle vs TuS Bersenbrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
6º
18º
8º
60
3º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTV Eintracht Celle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MEC
3 - 2
GIF
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GER
1 - 1
MEC
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MEC
3 - 4
BWP
75%
13%
12%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 0
MEC
19%
20%
61%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MEC
3 - 1
RAE
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
TuS Bersenbrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
TUB
1 - 2
SVB
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ERH
4 - 3
TUB
27%
24%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ADF
3 - 1
TUB
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TUB
2 - 0
BSV
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TUB
1 - 0
LUP
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |