Mtibwa Sugar vs Young Africans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
14º
11º
78
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
IFC
3 - 1
MTI
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
RUV
0 - 0
MTI
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
MTI
1 - 1
NAM
35%
29%
37%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GGF
2 - 2
MTI
53%
27%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
KAG
1 - 0
MTI
40%
30%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Young Africans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 3
YOU
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
YOU
3 - 0
COA
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
YOU
3 - 0
POL
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
NAM
0 - 2
YOU
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
YOU
1 - 0
TAN
66%
22%
12%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |