Mtibwa Sugar vs Ruvu Shooting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
14º
11º
20
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
NAM
2 - 2
MTI
59%
24%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
YOU
1 - 0
MTI
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MTI
2 - 4
NAM
28%
30%
42%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
SIM
2 - 0
MTI
62%
22%
15%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
MTI
3 - 1
RUV
35%
30%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ruvu Shooting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
IFC
0 - 1
RUV
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
RUV
1 - 0
TAN
45%
30%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MKF
1 - 2
RUV
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
RUV
0 - 1
MBE
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
MTI
3 - 1
RUV
35%
30%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |