Mtibwa Sugar vs Azam FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
29.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
KAG
2 - 1
MTI
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
MTI
1 - 0
NDA
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
MTI
0 - 1
SIM
25%
29%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
SUT
0 - 3
MTI
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TAN
2 - 1
MTI
40%
31%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Azam FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AZA
0 - 0
NMF
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
RUV
2 - 0
AZA
23%
29%
48%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -6 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MBE
0 - 0
AZA
18%
29%
54%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 1
MBA
60%
23%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +6 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
AZA
1 - 0
MWA
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |