MSV Duisburg vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
56.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MSV
0 - 1
MON
10%
16%
74%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
LEV
6 - 1
MSV
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
DUR
4 - 2
MSV
16%
20%
65%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
MSV
1 - 1
PRE
37%
23%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
HAN
5 - 2
MSV
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
ATH
44%
26%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SEV
1 - 0
ATH
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ATH
2 - 0
OSA
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
ATH
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 0
VCF
43%
26%
32%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |