MSV Duisburg Sub 19 vs Viktoria Koln Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
8º
5º
22
7º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BON
0 - 2
DUI
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
DUI
0 - 2
ESS
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
6 - 0
DUI
70%
18%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
DUI
3 - 1
MON
40%
25%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RWO
1 - 3
DUI
28%
23%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Koln Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIK
0 - 1
PRE
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BOR
4 - 0
VIK
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BON
1 - 3
VIK
48%
21%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIK
3 - 0
ESS
39%
25%
37%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 1
VIK
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |