Korona Kielce II vs Unia Tarnów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
15º
15º
40
11º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
89% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Korona Kielce II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KSW
2 - 2
MSK
20%
20%
61%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MSK
0 - 0
CRA
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUB
1 - 2
MSK
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MSK
5 - 3
STA
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ORP
0 - 1
MSK
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Unia Tarnów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UTA
0 - 0
WIS
25%
23%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WIE
7 - 0
UTA
75%
15%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UTA
0 - 6
CHE
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
WIS
3 - 4
UTA
20%
22%
58%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KSW
1 - 2
UTA
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |