Third Division Malta Normal Season Round 12

Msida St Joseph vs Luqa St. Andrew's analysis

Msida St Joseph Luqa St. Andrew's
41 ELO 39
8.4% Tilt 5.3%
9437º General ELO ranking 4687º
50º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
52.6%
Msida St Joseph
23%
Draw
24.3%
Luqa St. Andrew's

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
Msida St Joseph
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.3%
Win probability
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Msida St Joseph
-82%
+1%
Luqa St. Andrew's

Points and table prediction

Msida St Joseph
Their league position
Luqa St. Andrew's
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
11º
33
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Senglea Athletic
53
53
100%
Mgarr United FC
50
50
100%
Zabbar St. Patrick
48
48
100%
Msida St Joseph
43
43
100%
Kalkara
36
36
100%
Luqa St. Andrew's
33
33
100%
Xghajra Tornados
32
32
100%
Gharghur
31
31
0%
Rabat Ajax
31
31
0%
Kirkop United
10º
29
29
10º
0%
St. Georges FC
11º
29
29
11º
0%
Birzebbuga St. Peters
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Ghaxaq
13º
25
25
13º
100%
Qormi FC
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Pembroke Athleta
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Mellieha
16º
16
16
16º
100%
St. Venera
17º
14
14
17º
100%
Siggiewi
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Dingli Swallows
19º
9
9
19º
100%
Mdina Knights
20º
6
6
20º
100%
Ta' Xbiex
21º
1
1
21º
100%
Expected probabilities
Msida St Joseph
Luqa St. Andrew's
Promotion
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Msida St Joseph
Luqa St. Andrew's
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Msida St Joseph
Msida St Joseph
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2023
MSI
Msida St Joseph
3 - 0
St. Georges FC
SGC
62%
20%
19%
40 37 3 0
18 Dec. 2022
GHA
Gharghur
3 - 3
Msida St Joseph
MSI
50%
24%
26%
39 41 2 +1
03 Dec. 2022
SIG
Siggiewi
0 - 2
Msida St Joseph
MSI
27%
23%
50%
38 32 6 +1
20 Nov. 2022
MSI
Msida St Joseph
3 - 0
Dingli Swallows
DIN
80%
13%
7%
38 24 14 0
05 Nov. 2022
MDI
Mdina Knights
0 - 7
Msida St Joseph
MSI
19%
19%
62%
37 24 13 +1

Matches

Luqa St. Andrew's
Luqa St. Andrew's
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
LUQ
Luqa St. Andrew's
5 - 0
Mdina Knights
MDI
84%
11%
5%
39 21 18 0
18 Dec. 2022
SGC
St. Georges FC
2 - 4
Luqa St. Andrew's
LUQ
51%
22%
27%
38 38 0 +1
03 Dec. 2022
LUQ
Luqa St. Andrew's
0 - 0
Rabat Ajax
RAB
39%
24%
37%
37 41 4 +1
20 Nov. 2022
GHA
Gharghur
1 - 2
Luqa St. Andrew's
LUQ
59%
21%
20%
36 40 4 +1
05 Nov. 2022
LUQ
Luqa St. Andrew's
4 - 0
Ghaxaq
GHA
71%
17%
13%
36 27 9 0