MSC vs Purmersteijn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MSC
4 - 1
HOO
35%
21%
44%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
HOO
4 - 0
MSC
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MSC
4 - 0
HOL
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +3 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
3 - 1
MSC
36%
22%
42%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MSC
5 - 2
RKZ
41%
21%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Purmersteijn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AWC
2 - 0
PUR
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PUR
2 - 2
DEM
38%
23%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PUR
0 - 0
ALC
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HOO
4 - 3
PUR
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PUR
0 - 1
HOL
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |