MSC vs Purmersteijn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MSC
3 - 2
SWZ
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
VVH
1 - 1
MSC
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
MSC
1 - 3
ACH
87%
8%
4%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MSC
1 - 1
ALP
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
HOL
3 - 4
MSC
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Purmersteijn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
RKA
1 - 3
PUR
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PUR
3 - 2
DEL
59%
21%
21%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SJC
0 - 1
PUR
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PUR
2 - 1
HOL
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
DEB
1 - 1
PUR
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |