Cape Town City FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
10º
7º
66
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 44 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 42 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 33 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 28 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
MPU
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 1
MPU
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MPU
2 - 0
RKF
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
MPU
2 - 1
CHI
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RIB
1 - 3
MPU
23%
28%
49%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
ASY
0 - 1
SUN
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
SUN
3 - 0
AJA
74%
18%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 0
ASY
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 1
SUN
39%
28%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TPM
1 - 0
SUN
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |