Moutier vs Ostermundigen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 3
LAN
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 3
MOU
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MOU
3 - 2
WOH
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
TAV
2 - 2
MOU
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MOU
0 - 1
POR
54%
23%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ostermundigen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
OST
5 - 1
FCC
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WOH
3 - 6
OST
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
OST
4 - 0
TAV
34%
24%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
OST
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
OST
0 - 3
GRA
36%
24%
41%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |