Moutier vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
MOU
2 - 3
FCP
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
LER
2 - 0
MOU
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MOU
4 - 1
ALL
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
LIE
1 - 1
MOU
40%
23%
38%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MOU
1 - 1
MUT
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
TIM
0 - 9
LIE
10%
13%
77%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
LIE
2 - 3
FCK
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 2
LIE
38%
22%
41%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
LIE
1 - 1
MOU
40%
23%
38%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
FCP
3 - 1
LIE
24%
19%
57%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |