Moutier vs Langenthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
MOU
4 - 0
FCS
85%
11%
4%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
MOU
1 - 1
SEN
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
TAV
1 - 8
MOU
16%
20%
65%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
FCO
1 - 0
MOU
15%
19%
66%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MOU
3 - 0
FCB
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Langenthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
LAN
1 - 0
TAV
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LAN
6 - 0
FCO
82%
13%
6%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
ALL
0 - 1
LAN
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
FCB
2 - 2
LAN
17%
21%
63%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
LAN
2 - 3
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |