Moutier vs Spiez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
COR
0 - 2
MOU
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
MOU
1 - 0
TAV
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 1
MOU
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MOU
4 - 0
BUB
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FCK
1 - 1
MOU
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 4
FCC
14%
17%
68%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
COR
2 - 1
FCS
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 3
LIE
19%
18%
64%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 4
LIN
14%
16%
70%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TAV
2 - 1
FCS
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |