Moutier vs Dornach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MOU
3 - 0
LER
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FCS
2 - 1
MOU
12%
17%
71%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
MOU
2 - 0
ALL
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
MOU
1 - 2
LIE
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
ALL
2 - 3
MOU
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
DOR
5 - 1
FCS
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ALL
1 - 1
DOR
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 3
FCA
45%
21%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
LIE
3 - 2
DOR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
DOR
2 - 0
FCK
84%
10%
6%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |