Mousehole AFC vs Helston Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mousehole AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
MLB
0 - 2
MAF
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MAF
3 - 3
WEL
90%
8%
3%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Helston Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
HEA
1 - 1
SAL
49%
21%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 7
HEA
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
HEA
23%
20%
57%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
ODD
1 - 4
HEA
29%
22%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |